Championship Betting Preview 2014/2015

After a pretty poor World Cup punting-wise, the new football season offers a great opportunity for profit. There are plenty of teams that have seemingly been underrated or overrated by the bookies, so hopefully this can be taken advantage of.

I’ve written a mini report on each side, pointing out what may be worthwhile and what may be best avoided.

Birmingham City

The Blues really struggled last year and only managed to survive on the last day of the season thanks to an injury time goal form Paul Caddis. They’ve bought in a lot of players this summer, most of who are yet to prove themselves at Championship level. However, this could work well for the club as the new players will be hungry to prove themselves. Although I suspect they’ll finish near the bottom of the table, the 4/1 available for relegation isn’t very appealing.

Blackburn Rovers

Blackburn seem to have settled down since the initial circus when The Venky’s took over in 2010 and were only 2 points away from reaching the play-offs last season. Although they haven’t really strengthened their squad, their best bit of business could be tying striker Jordan Rhodes down to a long-term contract. The Scot scored 25 goals in 48 games for Rovers last season and will be key to their success this year. Gary Bowyer is a steady manager and finished the season unbeaten in their last 12 games. The 20/1 for Blackburn to win the league is a very fair price, although the top 6 finish at 11/4 may be the safer bet, whilst 13/5 to finish as top Northwest club (ahead of Wigan, Bolton and Blackpool) could also be worthwhile.

Blackpool

The farce surrounding Blackpool this summer, and their lack of transfer activity, will mean that they start the new season struggling to have a match day squad. Justifiably, The Tangerines are favourites for relegation. However, I don’t see how they can be backed for this at 7/10. Obviously their thin squad is a concern but the club have recently started to sign players and be linked with names such as Andrea Orlandi, so by the end of August there is every chance they will have a fairly competitive squad. Jose Riga did a good job in keeping Charlton up at the end of last season so although I expect them to struggle, they can’t be backed for relegation at such short prices.

Bolton Wanderers

The Trotters finished in mid-table last season and that is exactly what I see for them this campaign. Their squad is very bland, lacks any real quality and still have players in their squad on high wages. 10/11 for them to finish in the bottom half is probably a spot-on price but not worth backing.

Bournemouth

Eddie Howe guided Bournemouth to 10th in the league last season, an outstanding achievement for the club. They have a competitive squad, despite the sale of Lewis Grabban to Norwich, and an outstanding manager. I’m confident that Bournemouth will be challenging for the play-offs throughout the season but not confident enough that they’ll make them. The 10/3 for them to finish in the top 6 is a reasonable price, although not one that I will be backing.

Brentford

After their promotion from League 1, Brentford are aiming to hit the ground running and have spent some big money in strengthening their squad. Although they can be commended for this, their squad is lacking in Championship experience, as is their manager Mark Warburton. This may not be an issue but I feel the bookies have rated The Bees too highly and are overpriced at 19/4 to be relegated, whilst 16/1 to finish bottom is a huge price.

Brighton

Another play-off heartache followed by another manager departing, compounded by the departures of key players Leo Ulloa and Matt Upson, means that this season could prove a real challenge for The Seagulls. It’s always difficult to predict how a new manager will do, especially when, like Sami Hyypia, they’ve never managed in England before. The squad is currently lacking 3 or 4 players, something I’m sure the club will address before the end of August, and are therefore difficult to back in any of the markets.

Cardiff City

Although they’re amongst the favourites for promotion, I can’t be backing The Bluebirds at any of the prices they are currently and would rather back them at 6/1 to finish in the bottom half. Their squad is strong on paper but I’m not convinced that Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is the man to get them back up, whilst the ill-feeling towards Chairman Vincent Tan will not help.

Charlton Athletic

It is difficult to gauge how Charlton will do this year with their new manager and most of their new players being newcomers to England. They look too skinny at 13/4 to be relegated but as an unknown quantity certainly can’t be backed to have a successful season.

Derby County

Possibly unlucky not to be promoted last season, the bookies fancy Derby to go one better this year and clinch promotion. Joint favourites in some places to win the league and short priced to finish in the top 6, my money will not be going on Steve McClaren’s men. I’m always wary of teams who are seemingly successful due to the system they play rather than the quality of their squad and I place Derby into this category. I’m sure Derby will compete for promotion again this year but I don’t agree with the bookies in making them one of the favourites.

Fulham

Most of the talking points about Fulham this summer have been about the £11 million capture of Ross McCormack, which is without doubt a ridiculous sum of money for a Championship player. However, McCormack is a proven goal scorer at this level, something that can only improve Fulham’s chances of an instant return to the top division. Their squad is probably the strongest in the division with lots of premier league quality and a good blend of exciting youngsters. Felix Magath is a very experienced manager and in my opinion Fulham look best placed out of the three relegated clubs to have a successful season. 11/1 for The Cottagers to win the league seems a reasonable price.

Huddersfield Town

Huddersfield offer no value this season. Not likely to do well, not likely to do badly. The 4/1 available for them to get relegated does not appeal, even if they lose Adam Clayton as looks likely. Town’s attacking options should be enough to see them avoid relegation with Nahki Wells, James Vaughan and Joe Lolley all dangerous.

Ipswich Town

Never write off a Mick McCarthy team. Although Ipswich don’t have the strongest squad on paper, they have a manager who knows how to get results. The Tractor Boys nearly snuck into the play-offs last season and although not a team I’m looking to back this season, they’ll definitely be one to be wary of and look a tasty price at 7/4 to finish above rivals Norwich.

Leeds United

Another year brings another story at Leeds. New owner Massimo Cellino’s hiring of Dave Hockaday is baffling and the decision to bring in a lot of players from the Italian leagues could either be a masterstroke or a disaster. They might be of small interest to be relegated at 15/4 but although they could struggle to get goals, I think they’ll be ok.

Middlesbrough

Aitor Karanka has assembled what looks like a decent squad at The Riverside. Striker Kike scored 23 goals in the Spanish second division and could be worth a punt at 25/1 to be top scorer in the division, whilst defender Kenneth Omeruo returns on loan after a decent display at the World Cup. Karanka boasts a solid win percentage of nearly 42% and considering he took over in November, he did very well to take the team to within 8 points of the play-offs. The 13/8 for Middlesbrough to be the top Yorkshire team (finishing above Leeds, Sheffield Wednesday, Huddersfield and Rotherham) looks like a steal.

Millwall

What The Lions lack in a talented squad they make up for with a talented manager. Ian Holloway knows the division inside out and this will stand Millwall in good stead for the season. I certainly think that 3/1 for relegation is far too short and a mid-table finish is on the cards with the 11/10 to finish above Leeds of slight interest.

Norwich City

I suspect Norwich will lose a few more players before the end of August but should still maintain a competitive squad. The main issue is their manager, Neil Adams, who lacks experience and conviction. They’re too short in any of the promotion markets for my liking and are to be avoided outright.

Nottingham Forest

The Reds have made some decent signings so far this window, boosting an already large squad. Although I don’t rate Stuart Pearce as a manager, as a Forest legend he will get plenty of time to get things right. I won’t be backing them in any outright markets but both Matty Fryatt, a player who knows the division, and Lars Veldwijk, a striker in superb form in Holland, appeal at 40/1 to be top scorer in the division.

Reading

Although they were within a minute of reaching the play-offs last season, Reading are currently in an awkward situation as they wait to be taken over. This has meant that The Royals have seen players sold and not replaced, something that makes them a decent bet at 5/4 to finish in the bottom half, whilst the 10/11 for Blackburn and evens for Wolves to finish above them look tempting.

Rotherham

The Millers have made plenty of additions to their squad but still look likely to suffer relegation after back-to-back promotions. 3/1 seems a fair price to go straight back down but they have a canny manager in Steve Evans who will get 100% out of his squad.

Sheffield Wednesday

Similarly to Reading, Wednesday are in limbo as they wait to be taken over. This has left their already lacking squad as one of the weakest in the division. Goals could be an issue, whilst Stuart Gray has to prove he is cut out for management at this level. The Owls look good value at 9/2 to be relegated.

Watford

Watford have signed a good mix of foreign and championship experienced players and will be hoping to return to the play-offs after a disappointing season last year. The main boost for The Hornets is the return of Matej Vydra, their hero in the 2012/2013 season. However, I am unconvinced that manager Giuseppe Sannino is the right man to get the best out of the squad and think that they’re best avoiding in any promotion markets.

Wigan

The Latics should benefit from no Europa League this year and boast an impressive manager in Uwe Rosler. Nevertheless, Jordi Gomez will be a huge miss and goals could be an issue this season. They’re very likely to be in the promotion mix but not a tempting enough price for me to back.

Wolves

Wolves will be aiming to match the success of Southampton and Norwich in previous seasons with back-to-back promotions but will probably be happy with consolidation. Although they haven’t done much transfer business as of yet they still have a squad capable of challenging in the top half of the table. Kenny Jackett is a shrewd manager and knows the division so the 10/3 available on a top 6 finish looks reasonable.

Best Bets:

Blackburn top 6 finish-11/4
Brentford to be relegated- 19/4
Fulham to win the league-11/1
Middlesbrough top Yorkshire team-13/8
Reading to finish bottom half-5/4, Blackburn to finish above Reading-10/11, Wolves to Finish above Reading-evens
Sheffield Wednesday to be relegated-9/2

Good luck for the seasons betting!

World Cup 2014 Betting Preview: Team Betting

After trawling through the outright winner, top goalscorer and group markets, I had a look at the team betting. Although I’m not as confident with these compared to the group betting, the prices available are very decent value and worth a small punt.

Ivan Raktiic top Croatia goalscorer- 16/1

Mario Manzdukick will miss the first game vs Brazil, although I don’t think that will matter too much. He only scored 4 in qualifying so is not prolific and the goals in the Croatia squad are shared around. They are a team who don’t score many, only managing 12 in qualifying so this means that a couple of goals could be enough for their top goalscorer. Ivan Rakitic looks value at 16/1. Admitteldey Rakitic doesn’t have prolific international record, just 9 goals in 61 games, and plays a lot deeper than he does for Seville who he managed 12 goals in 34 league games for. However, he is a class player who could easily get a couple of goals in the group stage which could prove to be enough.

Ivory Coast less than 4 points-13/10

Any team could genuinely qualify from Group C, although I believe Colombia and Japan will get through. The Ivory Coast may have some capable attacking players such as Yaya Toure and Drogba, a case could even be made for Arsenal flop Gervinho who had a great season for Roma, but their defence is very poor. Their 3 centre halves, Kolo Toure, Sol Bamba and Didier Zokora are all not international standard and should struggle against the attacking prowess of Colombia and Japan. Even their decent attack may not be able to help them against Greece, who are excellent defensively. I don’t see Ivory Coast beating Japan or Colombia and am doubtful if they will be able to break down the Greeks. I could see them getting 2 or 3 points, but not any more, so 13/10 for less than 4 points looks a great bet.

Ross Barkley England top scorer-40/1

This is a real outside punt but could prove to be great value. Barkley may not start the games, although there is a chance he will, but is highly likely to come off the bench in most matches. He had a great season for Everton and showed he can score all kinds of goals from all areas and looked effective in the warm-up games. Wayne Rooney is not in great form and has never scored at a Word Cup so can’t be backed at 11/4, Daniel Sturridge is yet to convince at international level, Adam Lallana and Raheem Sterling both look far too short around 16/1 each, whilst there are question marks over the fitness of Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and Steven Gerrard plays a deep role. Therefore, at 40/1, Barkley looks a value bet.

Ciro Immobile top Italy soccer-7/1

As I mentioned in the group betting, Immobile is in incredible form and a possibility to start for Italy. Italy are another team who share goals around, meaning that a few goals could prove enough to be top scorer, and top scorer in qualifying Mario Balotelli is wildly unpredictable and could have a poor tournament or miss games through suspension. 7/1 looks a tasty price for a player in prolific form.

Ecuador under 4 points-13/10

As I mentioned in the group betting, I’m, convinced France and Switzerland will qualify, meaning that they will be too good for Ecuador, although there is the possibility they could knick a point from either of the Europeans. However, Honduras will put up a fight and not be an easy game so there is no guarantee they will pick up 3 points from them. Ecuador don’t have enough goals in the team and lack a quality goalscorer whilst there are strong doubts over their defence who conceded 3 goals in 32 minutes vs Australia in March. I think they will probably beat Honduras but get nothing from France or Switzerland, so 13/10 for them to get under 4 points looks decent.

Aleksander Kokorin Russia top goalscorer-9/2

Russia’s main striker in recent years, Alexander Kerzakhov, was  poor in the last Euro’s and is not guaranteed to play in all group games if starts poorly after he managed a modest 6 goals in 19 games for Zenit this season. Russia share the goals around their team and will miss their 3rd highest scorer in qualifying Roman Shirokov through injury. This makes the 9/2 for Aleksander Kokorin to be top Russia goalscorer very appealing. He scored 4 goals in 8 games during qualifying and 10 in 22 for Dinamo Moscow, and will be guaranteed a start off the left, maybe even up-front.

World Cup 2014 Betting Preview: Group Betting

Unlike the outright and top goalscorer markets, the group betting market offers a less speculative punt. Nevertheless, the group stages are still very difficult to predict, although this can work in a punter’s favour. I feel the bookies have got a few prices wrong and I will look to punish them!

 

Group A:

Brazil/Croatia straight forecast-7/ 4

Brazil should comfortably win Group A leaving the three other teams to fight it out for the 2nd qualifying spot. It’s a difficult one to call with all teams fairly even but Croatia look a good bet to finish behind Brazil in a straight forecast at 7/4. Croatia will miss Mario Mandzukic due to suspension for the first game against Brazil, but this could actually benefit them. Surely they’d rather face Brazil first without him, in a game they’re likely to lose, rather than against Mexico where a player with his quality could make all the difference. They have some other quality players in their squad such as Modric, Lovren and Rakitic so are strong all over the park. Mexico may have won the 2012 Olympics but their squad doesn’t look strong. Their best player, Chicarito, struggled for playing time for Man United this season and they only managed to scrape through qualification. Cameroon are no mugs either but I struggle to see where goals will come from. Although Samuel Eto’o is still a useful player he has complained about the lack of service he has received and it’s not hard to see why. Their midfield is very workmanlike, excellent at breaking up play but lacking any creativity. 7/4 seems a good price for essentially for Croatia to finish 2nd in an open group.

Group B:

Australia to lose all group games- 5/4

Quite a simple bet really, especially at odds on. Spain, Netherlands and Chile will be fighting it out to qualify (and I could see the Netherlands failing to do so) and should all be far too good for Australia. There’s a reason that Australia are the lowest ranked nation at the tournament. Their squad offers no quality, with an ageing Tim Cahill the main frontline threat, and a very weak defence. I can’t see them scoring, let alone drawing or winning a game, so 5/4 seems too large for them to lose all 3 games.

Group C:

Dual Forecast Colombia/Japan-9/4 and Greece lowest scoring team-11/8

This is the toughest group to call as there are arguments to be made for each team to qualify. I feel that although every team has a chance, Colombia and Japan are the most likely. Colombia will certainly miss Falcao but Bacca, Martinez and Gutierrez are all capable replacements, whilst James Rodriguez will provide some class from the wing. They also boast a strong, experienced defence that only conceded 13 in 16 during qualifying. I’m not convinced they’ll necessarily win the group but are certainly more than good enough to qualify. Japan are a team I like the look of. They have a great attack with Honda, Kagawa and Okazaki all terrific creators who also chipped in with goals during qualifying. Admittedly, their centre-halves look weak but both full-backs are good players so I feel they have enough ability to outscore their opposition and qualify. Ivory Coast will look a good bet to many people as they boast two beasts in Didier Drogba and Yaya Toure. However, I feel their defence is very poor and can’t have anything to do with a team that has Sol Bamba and Kolo Toure at centre-halve. Greece are a team I respect a lot but feel could struggle in Brazil. They’re notoriously hard to beat but struggle for goals, something that I feel will limit their progress and see them end up as lowest scorers in the group. They only managed  12 goals in 10 matches during qualifying and 69% of their competitive matches have gone under 2.5 goals in 26 games since the last World Cup. Furthermore, their main striker Konstas Mitroglou only made 3 appearances for Fulham after joining them in January so will be struggling for fitness.  11/8 seems far too large for them to be lowest scorers in the group.

Group D:

Top group goal scorer- Ciro Immobile-15/1

This is a bit of a gamble as it is difficult to predict how much playing time he will get during the group stages but at 15/1 I had to have a little bet. He’s in incredible form, earning a big money move to Dortmund after plundering 23 goals in 34 games for Torino, whilst he scored a hat-trick in Italy’s warm-up game vs Fluminense. Favourite Luis Suarez  is unlikely to be 100% fit, Mario Balotelli is an enigma and could be destructive or anonymous, Wayne Rooney looks very short  at 4/1 in places, especially considering he’s never scored at a World Cup, whilst Edison Cavani struggled at the last World Cup, although admittedly he is now a much better player. 15/1 just seems a good price for a player in superb form who could prove effective from the bench, possibly even starting.

Group E:

France-Switzerland dual forecast- 5/4

I see France qualifying without doubt but feel Switzerland could potentially win group, so I prefer dual forecast rather than straight forecast. Switzerland have immense quality in their side with the likes of Lichsteiner, Inler, Shaqiri and Drmic whilst manager Ottmar Hitzfeld is a meticulous tactician and they managed to qualify unbeaten. I don’t think Ecuador have much chance, a lot owing to the death of Chucho who will be missed as a player and a person. They struggle for goals without him and will rely on Felipe Caicedo to score their goals, something I don’t see him doing. Although Honduras showed fight against England they lost 5-0 vs Brazil in November, which shows their vulnerability and both strikers, although decent  in qualifying, play in poor domestic leagues. 5/4 seems too big for the two best teams in the group to qualify.

Group F:

Argentina-Bosnia straight forecast-6/4

Argentina should be far too good for the rest of this group and are rightfully short priced favourites to win the group. Bosnia look the most likely to join them in the next round and 6/4 straight forecast looks value. Bosnia have two great strikers in Edin Dzeko and Vedad Ibišević which should be enough to see them through group stage, if not further. Bosnia lost just once during qualifying and look far stronger than either Iran or Nigeria, although neither are terrible. Nigeria’s problem is goals. Their top scorer in qualification, Emineke, only managed 3 goals, whilst 54% of their competitive games since the 2010 World Cup have gone under 2.5 goals. Iran haven’t faced strong opposition in warm-up matches due to threat of political sanctions, so will struggle with the quality of players like Dzeko and Messi. 6/4 is far too big in this instance.

Group H:

Aleksandr Kokorin top group goalscorer-9/1

9/1 seems a lovely price for a player who is guaranteed a start playing off the left, possibly up-front, and who scored 4 goals in 7 games during qualifying. His main threat in the group goal scorers will be Lukaku, who seemingly will not be 100% fit. Similarly, although he scored 6 goals in qualifying, Park Chu-Young struggled for game time at Watford so will not be match fit. Algeria have no goalscorer to consider.

World Cup 2014 Betting Preview: Winner

It is constantly pointed out that no European team has won a World Cup in South America. I think this is the year it changes. This is the first World Cup since 1978 to be hosted in South America and the majority of players from the continent now play in Europe, which makes me think that all the teams will be on an even keel. As a result, there are a few European teams that look value to win the tournament and end the South American hoodoo.

Spain-13/2

I don’t understand how the best team in the world for the last 6 years are 4th favourites, especially considering they’re ranked by the bookies as bigger odds than an injury-struck Germany. Spain are a team that dominate possession as can be seen in their qualification for the tournament in which they averaged 74% possession (thanks to @SportingbetMark for that stat), so will wear teams down before finishing them off. Admittedly they have a tough group but simply put, I think they’re the best team, have the best players and are therefore a cracking bet at 13/2.

Portugal-28/1

The main reason for this bet is due to one man; Cristiano Ronaldo. The man is the best player in the world in my opinion and is capable of winning matches (and therefore hopefully the tournament) single-handedly. There are some concerns he may have an injury ,which may put some people off, but I still believe that, even if he misses the group stages, Portugal can qualify to the last 16. Without Ronaldo, Portugal are capable of beating both the USA and Ghana, although Germany will be a tougher test. I didn’t read too much into Portugal’s difficulty to qualify as they have good form at tournaments and boast a strong defence, something that will favour them in the latter stages when hopefully Ronaldo will be fully fit. 28/1 seems too large for a decent team that includes the current Ballon d’Or winner, especially when Belgium and Italy, two teams I don’t fancy, are shorter prices.

Japan at 200/1, Switzerland at 125/1 and Russia at 125/1 are the huge outsiders that interested me.

World Cup 2014 Betting Preview: Goalscorers

Betting on the top goalscorer at a world cup is notoriously difficult, with so many different permutations and scenarios to consider. Obviously, players such as Messi and Ronaldo will appeal to the masses but I’ve picked a few selections that offer great value and have a genuine chance.

Fred- 20/1

Although many people prefer his teammate Neymar at 12/1 for topscorer, I believe Fred provides the better value. He will be played up-front as a central striker, unlike Neymar who will be played off the left, and he out-scored Neymar at last year’s Confederations Cup. Both players have excellent records for Brazil averaging a goal under every 2 games, although it is worth considering that Neymar will probably take penalties. Furthermore, Fred currently plays in Brazil and Neymar has only just recently left Brazil, so both players will be used to the conditions. Additionally, it is likely that Brazil will have a successful tournament and progress to the latter stages, increasing the opportunity for goal scoring. There doesn’t seem to be anything between the two players for their country, so, therefore, the better odds available for Fred are more enticing than the 12/1 available for Neymar.

Edin Dzeko- 66/1 and Vedad Ibišević- 150/1

Although Bosnia may not be likely to win the World Cup, they have a good chance of making the quarter-finals and should definitely qualify from their Group. This offers enough time for Edin Dzeko to score the goals required to finish as top goalscorer at a mouth-watering 66/1. Dzeko scored 10 goals in qualifying, the 2nd best in Europe behind Robin van Persie, although their qualifying group was a fairly straightforward one. However, this means that Dzeko is capable of scoring against some of the weaker teams, something he will need to do in his group against Iran and Nigeria. Another reason to back Dzeko is the style of play Bosnia employ. Manager Safet Susic favours attacking football and Bosnia were the 4th highest scorers in European qualification. 66/1 for a player who scored 26 goals in 46 games for the Champions of England seems too large, especially when realistically Dzeko only needs to score 5 or 6 to be the top scorer. In 9 of the 10 last World Cups 6 goals has been enough to win the Golden Boot, with 5 being good enough in the last 2. Dzeko is capable of scoring 5 or 6 in the group games alone, especially against the likes of Iran and Nigeria. 66/1 seems a cracking bet. However, I will also be having a little punt on Dzeko’s strike partner Vedad Ibišević at 150/1. Statistically, he’s not far off Dzeko so to find him over double the price is baffling.

Carlos Bacca-125/1, Jackson Martinez-80/1, Teofilo Gutierrez-66/1

Many punters will have fancied Falcao to end up as top goal-scorer. Unfortunately, due to injury, he will miss the world cup. Nevertheless, I still like the look of a Colombian to end up top goalscorer, although due to difficulty in predicting their starting line-up I don’t know which one. Los Cafeteros have a great chance of winning their group and potentially getting to the quarter finals. They were third highest scorers in the South American qualification and have the creative James Rodriguez to open up opposition defences. Teofilo Gutierrez managed 6 goals in qualification, only 3 less than Falcao, so interests at 66/1. Although neither Carlos Bacca or Jackson Martinez have taken off at international level, both have been in prolific form domestically with Bacca scoring 21 in 52 games for Seville and Martinez scoring 29 in 51 for Porto. Consequently, both are worth backing at very large prices.

Karim Benzema also appeals at 33/1 as do Aleksandr Kokorin and Shinji Okazaki, both at 150/1.

 

Going out on a high? Last day of the season bet

The end of the football season can prove to be a nightmare for punters. Often, the formbook becomes irrelevant and teams seem to stop trying once they can no longer be relegated/promoted. Nevertheless, there are a few games worth looking at as the Football League season comes to a climax.

Blackpool vs Charlton

Charlton are already safe from relegation so could play a weakened side. Blackpool, not yet safe from relegation due to their goal difference, will want to get the win that guarantees their safety. They have taken 4 points from their last 2 games (against opposition contesting the play-off places) and 6/5 is good enough for me to back them.

Bristol Rovers vs Mansfield

Bristol Rovers know a point will be enough to save them from relegation against Mansfield but will surely be playing for all three. Mansfield have nothing left to play for and seem to already be on the beach, having taken just 1 point from their last 3 games. Admittedly, the 10/11 for Rovers to win is far too short. However, with not much else about, I’m taking a muggy punt on The Gas.

Northampton vs Oxford

Northampton are another team who know a point will be enough to ensure survival, although, like Bristol Rovers, will surely be playing to win. The Cobblers are in ok form, especially in comparison to their opponents. Oxford have lost 6 of their 7 games since Gary Waddock replaced Chris Wilder, who left for Northampton. This adds a bit of extra intrigue to the fixture, as the Oxford players may be further motivated to prove a point to their former gaffer, although Wilder will be desperate to get the win as well ,in order to vindicate his decision to leave The U’s.  10/11 is shorter than I would have liked but nonetheless a worthwhile punt.

Newport County vs Rochdale

The race for the League 2 title is going right to the wire. Any three of Chesterfield, Rochdale and Scunthorpe can end the season as champions.  Rochdale have the easiest fixture of the 3, against Newport County, who have nothing to play for and have just 1 win in their last 8. 11/10 seems a fair price for a team desperate to win.

 

At the time of writing the bet pays best price 16/1 with BetVictor. I’m hoping to end the season with a nice winner after a very up and down season that has left me about level. Good luck!

Weekend bet 1st March

Some nice bets around today at above evens. I liked a few but ended up settling on a treble.

Hull vs Newcastle

Although Newcastle won their last game, their form of late has been poor and they’ve struggled for goals, failing to score in seven of their last nine matches. Hull have a strong defence and scored 4 in their last Premier League outing. Therefore I feel 29/20 is a nice price for Hull the get the win, in a likely low-scoring affair.

Preston vs Walsall

Preston do draw a lot of games but 11/10 seems a good price to beat a Walsall who aren’t in the greatest in form. This bet is mainly due to gut feeling but Walsall haven’t scored many goals lately and Preston are always dangerous.

Plymouth vs Morecambe

Morecambe have no wins in their last 9. Plymouth have won their last 2 games (albeit away from home), and have lost just 1 of their last 6. That was good enough for me to snap up the 21/20 on Plymouth.

Yesterday, I took this treble with BetVictor at odds of 9.95/1 which I feel is a very enticing price.